Beast or Bust?: Week 7
Welcome back to “Beast or Bust?”, the weekly column in which I, BigRedPoet, offer my predictions for the following week’s NFL games in the hope that you can use this information to improve your fantasy football team.
For the purposes of this feature, I will make reference to Yahoo’s projected statistics. Luckily, I don’t expect statistics to vary much between fantasy football sites, so non-Yahoo users aren’t left out in the cold. Your “Beast” will be a player who I expect to exceed his projections by at least 5 points, and your “Bust” will be a player who I predict will come up at least 5 points short of what’s expected. I’ll also toss in an “OMG” pick each week; this will be a player who’s projected to score less than 5 points, and who will rise from relative obscurity to deliver an unexpected and outstanding performance. If the NFL slate for the week is particularly juicy, I might predict multiple players in any or all of those categories.
As it turns out, I’m finding that 5 points is a REALLY big margin of difference between the projections and these guys’ actual performances. This is difficult! My win/loss ratio is starting to look laughable. Think you can do better? I challenge you to post comments with your own beast, bust, and OMG.
Week 7 Beast: 49ers WR Michael Crabtree
Well, look who decided to accept the paltry sum of 17 million dollars (at the very least, and 40 million at best) to finally come play some football. Even though I think his holdout was one of the premiere bonehead moves of the decade, I can’t deny that Michael Crabtree is a beast. According to official reports, Crabtree is going to be on the field often during the 49ers’ week 7 game, and there’s a “strong possibility” that he will start. I wouldn’t be surprised, considering that the other WR options in San Francisco are Isaac “Grandpa” Bruce and Josh “Who?” Morgan. Projected for just 6.25 points, equal to 62 total yards, Crabtree possesses the talents to eclipse those numbers by a mile, particularly against Houston’s fairly user-friendly defense. This will be Crabtree’s first NFL game, and trusting a total greenhorn is always a risk, but I see enough upside here to start him at WR3 in just about any league.
My Prediction: 80 yards, 1 touchdown
Week 7 Bust: Panthers WR Steve Smith
That’s right. I’m calling out former monster Steve Smith of the Carolina Panthers, even though he’s only projected for 7.6 points, to fall short of his projections by five. I don’t think he’s gonna do jack in week 7. Take a look at the situation: 1) Jake Delhomme is terrible. He’s a turnover machine. To quote Brad Evans, I’ve turned “Delhommophobic.” 2) Carolina faces Buffalo in week 7, a team that surrenders a league-worst 181.2 yards per game rushing. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are going to carry the ball constantly, particularly since Dehomme sucks. 3) The entire defensive backfield will be focused on shutting Smith down. Carolina’s only other WR is Muhsin Muhammad, who I trust about as far as Delhomme can throw. 4) Smith is at odds with his team, sayin after last week’s game that he “no longer feels like an asset” to the Panthers. That can’t be good. Smith’s week is doomed, procrastinators.
My Prediction: 2 catches, 20 yards, no touchdowns
Week 7 OMG: Vikings WR Sidney Rice
We all know that the Vikings are still Adrian Peterson’s team, but the addition of Favre has breathed considerable life back into the Minnesota passing game. Rice is an emerging young talent who’s posted a couple of outstanding stat lines this season, particularly last week, as he caught 6 passes for 176 yards. I don’t think he’s likely to repeat that monster performance this week, but he’s in a position to score pretty well. The Vikings are likely to go to the air often against the Steelers, who are awfully stout against the run. Projected for just 5.04, equal to 50 total yards, Rice will prove useful to fantasy owners with the guts to start him.
My prediction: 70 yards, 1 touchdown
I’m all about accountability. Each week, after I offer my predictions, I’ll take credit for the previous week’s success and/or eat crow over last week’s dismal failure.
Week 6 Picks
- Beast: Nate Burleson
- Projected Score: 9.79
- Actual Score: 4.0
Allow me to quote rotowire.com: Seattle had a dreadful game offensively, and Burleson had a season-low five targets. It’s all the more disappointing considering the Seahawks were facing the league’s worst pass defense. The conditions were right. The Seahawks blew it. I lose.
- Bust: Clinton Portis
- Projected Score: 14.27
- Actual Score: 10.4
At this point, I’m a victim to my own rules. Portis did underperform, but not as miserably as I needed him to in order to fulfill my “five points under” requirement. I REALLY want partial credit, here. I didn’t make provisions for that, though. I lose. Crap.
- OMG: Kellen Winslow
- Projected Score: 4.95
- Actual Score: 2.9
Huh. I guess catching everything in his general vicinity and scoring two touchdowns in week 5 isn’t enough to make the Bucs trust Winslow with a few targets in week 6. I’m baffled. I lose.
BRP’s win/loss ratio: 4/14
40 Responses to “Beast or Bust?: Week 7”
Leave a Reply
Friends of TDP
August 14th, 2010 at 11:40 am
Thinking. It’s always the same thing. To think is to go insane.
December 8th, 2010 at 6:10 am
NCAA Football teams like the Clemson Tigers or the LSU Tigers are indeterminable when it comes to a game. A lot of the time I sense that what is a determinant during a game are the historical statistics of the two football teams. I calculate tons of number crunching for these matches because I sense that history usually give us what will happen in the future. It may be hard to decipher the winning team in the NCAA. This is the main reason why I recommend using historical data. It is something to ponder about when looking to choose a winning team.
December 22nd, 2010 at 3:05 am
NFL teams like the Indianapolis Colts or the Pittsburg Steelers are hard to predict when it comes to a match. More often than not I sense that what is important during a match are the statistics of the two teams. I compute tons of number crunching for these games because I feel that history can give us what will happen in the future. Most of the time its hard to figure out the winning team in the NFL. This is why I recommend using past statistics. It is something to think about when trying to choose a winning team.
December 22nd, 2010 at 4:00 pm
NCAA Football teams like the Miami Hurricanes or the Ole Miss Rebels are undeterminable when it comes to a match. Usually I feel that what is most important during a match are the past data of the two college teams. I do a lot of number crunching for these matches because I feel that the past can show us what may happen in the future. More often than not its difficult to decipher the winning team in the NCAA. This is why I like using trend data. It is smart to ponder about when looking to pick a winner.
July 13th, 2011 at 11:26 pm
I love your article. It can help me get much useful information. Hope to see more words in it. I think you will have interests to see
July 30th, 2011 at 2:42 am
I will bookmark your site to check if you write more great info about it in the future.
August 3rd, 2011 at 1:18 am
Selling cheap oakley sunglasses at Fairs and Festivals can be very profitable. Here is an example – We have a customer of ours that sets up at major fairs including State Fairs and street festivals. He has told us that he can gross up to over $3000.00 per day on busy days. The secret to his success is the way he markets his products. He has a very professional display using the free display boxes with the compare to tag on them. He has told us hands down this way of displaying the Oakley sunglasses sells more than any other.
August 5th, 2011 at 6:25 pm
It is already in my favourite list and i will try to follow it when possible . Thanks for the nice posts .
October 12th, 2011 at 7:55 pm
Vous avez 10-20 secondes pour faire une impression Supra Shoes Prix
favorable lors de sa rencontre quelqu’un pour la première fois. La différence entre faire une grande impression ou une très mauvaise dépend souvent de votre capacité à lire et à comprendre une autre langue corps de Supra Shoes Pas Cher
personnes. Nous pouvons involontairement nuire communications avec nos messages non verbaux.
October 12th, 2011 at 7:55 pm
Nike Air est coûteux que Air force nike pas cher
les chaussures athlétiques, comme raison de leur qualité et de confort. Si elles sont bien pris soin d’, Coach Pas Cher
ils durent beaucoup plus longtemps que les produits similaires.
October 12th, 2011 at 9:39 pm
Just in the range of Bailey Button Triplets, it provides options of a standard or you could opt for the obsidian. Once you select the bracelet, then you select the charms to be supplemented onto the bracelet. You will have so many options to choose from the uggs bailey button cheapest that it may just get very difficult for you to make a choice. They can be easily hooked on to the cheap Uggs Australia in australia. So you have accessory which is versatile.
October 16th, 2011 at 11:45 pm
It’s a pity you don’t have a donate button! I’d without a doubt donate to this excellent blog!
October 23rd, 2011 at 8:32 pm
I believe this really is excellent information. Most of men and women will concur with you and I ought to thank you about it
November 2nd, 2011 at 2:43 am
Energy and persistence conquer all things. — Benjamin Franklin
November 10th, 2011 at 11:24 pm
Read the article, very touching.
November 11th, 2011 at 4:06 am
Essay writing regularly assigned work that has a great significance in academic world and a professional essay writer is useful for it.
November 16th, 2011 at 8:28 pm
http://www.mbt-clearanceoutlets.com/
November 17th, 2011 at 1:17 am
How sharper than a serpent’s tooth is to possess a thankless child. (William Shakespeare, British dramatist)
November 21st, 2011 at 11:14 pm
UGG Sydney introduced it’s 2011 Summer as great as”#dongzdsk” open brand brand brand brand new equipment inside Shanghai as great as Beijing as well. Many character mass media, demeanour marketplace leaders along with renouned designers were existent as great as so they expose a unaccountable deceive involving 2011 UGG summer.
cheap uggs
November 21st, 2011 at 11:14 pm
Uggs preference Sandal array is a actuality”#dongzdsk” compared with UGG Questionnaire Summer as great as open sequence, It’s adored excellent by it’s true followers. It is done from a tangible softest full of health tanned hide along with suede, in sequence to enclose it whenever; it unequivocally is both bland as great as chic. In sequence to pierce going, a little Ugg foot brand brand brand brand new sandals is a biggest preference for you.
cheap ugg boots
December 2nd, 2011 at 11:34 pm
am very please to find this site, I like the design and theme of the site which is very attractive.Excellent post.
January 6th, 2012 at 8:01 pm
and others in different parts of the Upper Town, are now for the most part united in a large
February 3rd, 2012 at 6:41 pm
Very good written article. It will be helpful to anyone who uses it, including yours truly. Keep up the good work – for sure i will check out more posts. http://www.louboutinshoes2u.com
February 3rd, 2012 at 6:42 pm
I absolutely love this site.. shoes came right on time nd they areee generous got 2 pairs and the stitching A quality love them, The design and the look of your site are really nice! It makes my reading even more interesting and pleasant! – http://www.kisslouboutin.com/
February 3rd, 2012 at 6:42 pm
My brother recommended I might like this web site. He was entirely right. This post truly made my day. You can not imagine simply how much time I had spent for this info! Thanks! http://www.louboutinlure.com
February 3rd, 2012 at 6:43 pm
This is the best blog I’ve ever seen in my life! I really appreciate you taking the time out of your day to share this with everyone. http://www.christianlouboutinshoesexy.com
February 16th, 2012 at 1:32 am
Welcome to buy Coach Crossbody Bags. Place orders now you can enjoy ZERO sale tax! Fast delivery. Take this chance to buy Cheap Coach Crossbody Bags made of high quality materials from Coach Crossbody Bags OutletD1ZETSPIAY 5Q5B6VIZJX
February 16th, 2012 at 8:25 pm
But it could be real to buy essay in the perfect persuasive essay writing service. This is a natural action for some students. http://www.dvdboxsetsshop.com/
February 16th, 2012 at 8:25 pm
I have you bookmarked your site to check out the new stuff you post.http://www.trmall.net/
March 2nd, 2012 at 1:51 am
JTYYLHHKXOZDM
Trouver Sacs à main Lancel bon marché fabriqués en cuir de Lancel
March 14th, 2012 at 7:08 pm
Valuable information ..I am delighted to read this article..thank you for giving us this useful information. Great walk-through. I value this post.
March 23rd, 2012 at 10:52 pm
Very good, looking forward to the latest article!
March 23rd, 2012 at 10:55 pm
Your articles always have insights, very good, continue to work hard!
March 23rd, 2012 at 10:55 pm
A very worthwhile collection of articles,thank you share!
April 6th, 2012 at 11:12 pm
Samsung Galaxy S2 Skin
This is my first time i visit here. I found so many entertaining stuff in your blog, especially its discussion. From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the leisure here! Keep up the good work.
April 12th, 2012 at 7:59 pm
It would seem, from the private note which accompanies his correspondence.
April 12th, 2012 at 8:34 pm
It would seem, from the private note which accompanies his correspondence.
April 13th, 2012 at 12:53 am
Thank you, your words out of my mood.. I’m very glad to meet you! That’s moving. Hope to see you again article..
April 28th, 2012 at 11:56 pm
Liked the author’s articles have a long time, very well, will continue to support!
May 16th, 2012 at 1:07 am
name in the industry or for the ultimate combination of luxury and style shoes have become wildly popular